The 1/32-finals of the ATP Masters 1000 Miami tournament continue to offer an intriguing mix of potential value bets and strong favorites. Experienced Cilic shows he’s capable of putting up a tight fight, Tabilo possesses the necessary skills to challenge Rublev on these courts, and Medvedev, given his current form and consistency, should maintain full control.
ATP Masters 1000 Miami: 1/32-Finals
Nakashima – Cilic: 21.03.2026 22:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Brandon Nakashima
Brandon Nakashima has secured three victories in his last five matches. His previous appearance was at Indian Wells, where he lost to Zverev in the third round after three intense sets. Last season in Miami, the American tennis player exited in the fourth round, falling to Dimitrov.
Marin Cilic
Marin Cilic has suffered three defeats in his last five encounters. This marks his fourteenth participation in the Miami tournament. Cilic has consistently advanced past at least the opening round in all his appearances. This week in Miami, the Croat overcame Popyrin in the first round in straight sets.
Best Bet for Nakashima vs Cilic
Bookmakers consider Cilic a slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He looked confident in the opening round and feels comfortable playing in the United States. Earlier this season, Cilic narrowly lost to Nakashima in two tight tie-breaks. We anticipate a close match.
Therefore, betting on Cilic with a game handicap offers good value.
Value bet / best odds: Marin Cilic +1.5 games handicap @1.91
Rublev – Tabilo: 21.03.2026 19:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Andrey Rublev
Andrey Rublev has won three of his last five matches. His last outing was at Indian Wells, where he was defeated by Diallo in the second round after three hard-fought sets. Last season in Miami, Rublev lost to Bergs in the second round in straight sets.
Alejandro Tabilo
Alejandro Tabilo has also claimed three victories in his last five matches. This week in Miami, Tabilo convincingly defeated Comesana in the opening round in straight sets, utilizing his serve effectively and saving two break points. Last season in Miami, the Chilean lost to Ruud in the third round in straight sets.
Best Bet for Rublev vs Tabilo
According to bookmakers, Rublev is the favorite in this match, but we hold a different view. Tabilo served well in the first round and prefers fast courts. On the other hand, Rublev struggled against Diallo two weeks ago under similar conditions.
Thus, betting on Tabilo with a game handicap offers good value.
Value bet / best odds: Alejandro Tabilo +2.5 games handicap @1.83
Sakamoto – Medvedev: 21.03.2026 20:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Rei Sakamoto
Rei Sakamoto has lost three of his last five matches. He received a wild card for the Miami tournament this week. In the opening main draw round, Sakamoto secured a victory over Kovacevic in three tight sets.
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev has won four of his last five matches. Last week at Indian Wells, Medvedev was defeated by Sinner in the final after two tie-breaks. A week prior, he clinched the ATP 500 title in Dubai.
Best Bet for Sakamoto vs Medvedev
Bookmakers rightly identify Medvedev as the favorite in this encounter, and we completely agree. He is in excellent form and enjoys playing in the United States. Sakamoto, however, lacks experience at the Masters 1000 level. We anticipate a one-sided match.
Therefore, betting on Medvedev with a game handicap offers good value.
Value bet / best odds: Daniil Medvedev -5.5 games handicap @2.20
