Santos or Hill? And who will be the next ‘TUF’ winners?

Santos
vs.
Hill

Luke:
vs.
Neal:

Pauga:
vs.
Usman

Miller:
vs.
Walker:

Sakai:
vs.
Spivak

waterfall
vs.
Lipski

MMA Junkie readers’
consensus picks:
127-74

hill2022:

Hill
(77%)

luque2022:

Luke:
(86%)

pauga2022:

Pauga:
(56%)

walker2022:

Walker:
(57%)

spivac2022:

Spivak
(78%)

lipski2022

Lipski
(73%)

Ken Hathaway
@kenshathaway:
136-70

trophy copy:

2018 Champion:

hill2022:

Hill

luque2022:

Luke:

pauga2022:

Pauga:

miller2022:

Miller:

spivac2022:

Spivak

cachoeira2022

waterfall

Mike Bohn:
@MikeBohn:
132-74

trophy copy:

2014 Champion:

hill2022:

Hill

luque2022:

Luke:

pauga2022:

Pauga:

miller2022:

Miller:

spivac2022:

Spivak

lipski2022

Lipski

Abbey Subhan:
@kammakaze:
132-74

hill2022:

Hill

luque2022:

Luke:

usman2022:

Usman

walker2022:

Walker:

spivac2022:

Spivak

lipski2022

Lipski

Matthew Wells
@MrMWells:
128-78

hill2022:

Hill

neal2022:

Neal:

usman2022:

Usman

miller2022:

Miller:

spivac2022:

Spivak

lipski2022

Lipski

Simon Samano:
@SJSamano:
127-79

hill2022:

Hill

neal2022:

Neal:

pauga2022:

Pauga:

walker2022:

Walker:

sakai2022:

Sakai:

lipski2022

Lipski

Matt Erickson
@MMAjunkieMatt
126-80

santos2022

Santos

luque2022:

Luke:

usman2022:

Usman

miller2022:

Miller:

spivac2022:

Spivak

lipski2022

Lipski

Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun:
125-81

hill2022:

Hill

luque2022:

Luke:

pauga2022:

Pauga:

walker2022:

Walker:

spivac2022:

Spivak

lipski2022

Lipski

Nolan King
@mma_kings:
123-83

santos2022

Santos

luque2022:

Luke:

pauga2022:

Pauga:

miller2022:

Miller:

sakai2022:

Sakai:

lipski2022

Lipski

Brian Garcia:
@thegoze:
121-85

trophy copy:

2017 Champion:

hill2022:

Hill

luque2022:

Luke:

pauga2022:

Pauga:

walker2022:

Walker:

spivac2022:

Spivak

cachoeira2022

waterfall

George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge
114-92

hill2022:

Hill

luque2022:

Luke:

usman2022:

Usman

walker2022:

Walker:

sakai2022:

Sakai:

cachoeira2022

waterfall

Danny Segura
@dannyseguratv:
101-105

hill2022:

Hill

luque2022:

Luke:

pauga2022:

Pauga:

walker2022:

Walker:

sakai2022:

Sakai:

lipski2022

Lipski

The UFC is back in its Las Vegas home base this week with a key light heavyweight bout, plus a pair of finals for Season 30 of “The Ultimate Fighter.”

UFC on ESPN 40 takes place Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. The card airs on ESPN and streams on ESPN+.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

In the main event, former light heavyweight title challenger Thiago Santos (22-10 MMA, 14-9 UFC) takes on Jamahal Hill (10-1 MMA, 4-1 UFC). Hill is a big -340 favorite at Tipico Sportsbook; the comeback on Santos is +250. Our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers are largely taking Hill with a big 9-2 picks lead.

In the co-feature, Vicente Luque (21-8-1 MMA, 14-4 UFC) takes on Geoff Neal (14-4 MMA, 6-2 UFC) at welterweight. Luque is a 2-1 favorite at the betting window and like Hill has a 9-2 lead from our pickers.

In the heavyweight final of Season 30 of “The Ultimate Fighter,” Zac Pauga (5-0 MMA, 0-0 UFC) meets Mohammed Usman (7-2 MMA, 0-0 UFC), the brother of UFC welterweight champion Kamaru Usman. . Pauga is the biggest favorite on the main card at -290, but he has just a 7-4 lead in the picks.

In the “TUF 30” women’s flyweight final, it’s a close fight at the sportsbook between Juliana Miller (2-1 MMA, 0-0 UFC) and Brogan Walker (7-2 MMA, 0-0 UFC). Miller is a slight favorite at -125, but Walker has a 6-5 picks edge.

Augusto Sakai (15-4-1 MMA, 4-3 UFC) takes on -280 favorite Serghei Spivac (14-3 MMA, 5-3 UFC) at heavyweight. But despite the big odds in Spivac’s favor, he has just a 7-4 picks lead.

And to open the main card, Priscila Cachoeira (11-4 MMA, 3-4 UFC) meets Ariane Lipski (14-7 MMA, 3-4 UFC) in a women’s flyweight bout. Lipski is almost a 2-1 favorite and has an 8-3 lead from our staff members.

In the MMA Junkie reader consensus picks, Hill (77 percent), Luque (86 percent), Pauga (56 percent), Walker (57 percent), Spivac (78 percent) and Lipski (73 percent) are the choices.

Check out all the picks above.

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC on ESPN 40.

List:

UFC on ESPN 40 commentary team, broadcast plans. Three-man booth set

List:

UFC on ESPN 40 breakdown. Can Jamahal Hill take out ex-title challenger Thiago Santos?

Story originally appeared on MMA Junkie

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