ATP Miami Open: Best Bets and Predictions for Sinner vs Moutet & Halys vs Majchrzak
The ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/16-finals continue to present exciting matchups. Both Halys and Majchrzak have shown strong serving, suggesting a lengthy and competitive encounter, likely featuring at least one tie-break. Jannik Sinner is currently in superb form and is expected to maintain his dominant performance. Considering the significant difference in their recent consistency and confidence, it's improbable that Moutet will pose a substantial challenge throughout the entire match.
ATP Miami Open 1/16-Finals Match Previews
Quentin Halys vs. Kamil Majchrzak – March 23, 2026, 23:05 CEST
Head-to-Head: 1-1
Quentin Halys has secured victories in three of his last five outings. At the Miami Open this week, the French player advanced past Draxl in a three-set battle, recovering strongly after dropping the first set by conceding only two games in the subsequent two. He then caused an upset in the second round, defeating Davidovich Fokina in straight sets, showcasing an impressive serving display with 15 aces and fending off both break points he faced.
Kamil Majchrzak also boasts three wins from his most recent five matches. His Miami campaign began with a three-set victory over Kecmanovic, bouncing back after losing the first set 4-6. He followed this with another three-set upset against Tien in the second round, where he demonstrated strong control in both the opening and deciding sets. Notably, Majchrzak did not manage to qualify for the main draw in Miami last season.
Best Bet for Halys vs. Majchrzak
The oddsmakers anticipate a closely contested match, a sentiment we share. Both Halys and Majchrzak are performing exceptionally well in Miami, particularly with their serves, which should allow them to hold comfortably. We foresee a potential three-set thriller, likely including at least one tie-break. Therefore, betting on the over games total represents good value.
Our top pick: Over 24.5 total games at odds of 1.83
Corentin Moutet vs. Jannik Sinner – March 24, 2026, 00:00 CEST
Head-to-Head: 0-1
Corentin Moutet has secured three wins from his last five appearances. Last week in Phoenix, he reached the semifinals before being narrowly defeated by Giron in a tight three-set encounter. In Miami this week, Moutet overcame Machac in his opening match, also in three sets. After dropping the second set, he elevated his game and demonstrated superior composure under pressure in the deciding set. Last season at the Miami Open, the Frenchman exited in the second round, losing to Tabilo.
Jannik Sinner is currently on an impressive seven-match winning streak. He recently claimed the Indian Wells title without dropping a single set. Continuing his strong form in Miami, Sinner defeated Dzumhur in straight sets in his opening match, showcasing excellent serving by facing and saving only one break point. The Italian previously won the Miami title in 2024, defeating Dimitrov in straight sets in the final, and enters this tournament as the second seed.
Best Bet for Moutet vs. Sinner
Bookmakers have rightly identified Sinner as the overwhelming favorite in this encounter, a view we fully endorse. His remarkable seven-match winning streak, without conceding a single set, underscores his current dominance. Sinner consistently performs well in US tournaments and has comfortably beaten Moutet in their sole previous meeting. We anticipate a commanding performance leading to a straightforward victory for Sinner. Consequently, betting on Jannik Sinner to cover the games handicap offers excellent value.
Our top pick: Jannik Sinner -6.5 games handicap at odds of 2.00
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